Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.5% vs Parise 47.3% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parise 54.6%
Defensive zone
Parise 60.2%
Neutral zone
Parise 57.6%
Result
Zach Parise favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Hertl
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hertl
Parise
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
1
Hertl
Parise
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,117)
33.3% (21)
+20.8%
Power Play
59.8% (296)
50.0% (8)
+9.8%
On even strength, Hertl has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Hertl shoots left. Parise is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Hertl
Parise
Home
54.3% (709)
30.8% (13)
Away
55.3% (736)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Hertl
Parise
P1
51.6%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
46.2%
P3
58.6%
22.2%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.8%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Zach Parise |