Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Kopecky wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopecky 47.2% vs Smith 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopecky 62.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Kopecky
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopecky
Smith
Last 5: Kopecky 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
2
0
Kopecky
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Kopecky
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopecky
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopecky
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (438)
51.6% (5,265)
-4.3%
Power Play
42.3% (142)
51.2% (342)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
45.3% (985)
+6.0%
On power play, Smith has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Kopecky is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Kopecky shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Kopecky
Smith
Home
51.9% (364)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
40.7% (305)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Kopecky
Smith
P1
47.4%
49.9%
P2
42.5%
50.0%
P3
49.3%
51.9%
OT
58.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |