Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Nosek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Nosek 48.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 78.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 69.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 67.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Gaudreau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaudreau
Nosek
Last 5: Gaudreau 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Gaudreau
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
52.0% (102)
-7.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
100.0% (2)
-68.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
29.0% (31)
+9.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +68.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nosek
Home
42.6% (277)
52.0% (50)
Away
43.1% (288)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nosek
P1
44.1%
45.0%
P2
44.7%
42.0%
P3
39.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |