Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Nosek 51.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kasper 61.6%
Neutral zone
Kasper 67.3%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Kasper
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kasper
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Kasper
Nosek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kasper
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kasper
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
53.0% (400)
-7.9%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
33.3% (12)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
45.5% (44)
-16.1%
On power play, Kasper has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nosek
Home
47.9% (280)
49.6% (244)
Away
42.5% (346)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Kasper
Nosek
P1
45.8%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
38.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
40.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
60.0%▲
49.0%
44.9%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |