Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.6%). Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Nosek wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.4% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 69.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 51.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Nosek
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Nosek
Trocheck
Last 10: Nosek 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nosek
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
4
2
Nosek
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nosek
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (557)
54.3% (955)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.6% (96)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (111)
51.0% (194)
-3.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Nosek shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Nosek
Trocheck
Home
52.3% (342)
58.3% (604)
Away
55.5% (330)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Nosek
Trocheck
P1
49.0%
53.9%
P2
53.8%
55.7%
P3
57.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |