Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 42.5% vs Gourde 46.0% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 80.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 79.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 57.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Novak
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (408)
47.2% (687)
-6.8%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
45.0% (20)
+0.5%
On even strength, Gourde has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Novak shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Novak
Gourde
Home
42.0% (212)
44.4% (356)
Away
39.7% (229)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Novak
Gourde
P1
41.9%
42.2%
P2
39.3%
50.0%
P3
42.1%
44.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%