Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Boyd 48.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 65.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 67.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Ryan
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Ryan
Boyd
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Boyd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
2
Ryan
Boyd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
4
Ryan
Boyd
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
48.6% (140)
+5.7%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
35.0% (20)
+2.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Ryan is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Ryan shoots right. Boyd is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Ryan
Boyd
Home
50.9% (167)
52.8% (72)
Away
53.5% (127)
42.0% (88)
By Period
Ryan
Boyd
P1
44.0%
43.3%
P2
61.7%
40.7%
P3
50.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| May 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |