Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Erat wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 47.0% vs Zajac 54.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 82.6%
Defensive zone
Erat 78.3%
Neutral zone
Erat 83.1%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Erat
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Erat
Zajac
Last 9: Erat 2-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Erat
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
6
Erat
Zajac
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (180)
55.7% (1,020)
-11.3%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
52.7% (201)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
50.3% (173)
+9.7%
On even strength, Zajac has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Erat is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Erat shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Erat
Zajac
Home
51.9% (129)
54.9% (685)
Away
35.7% (84)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Erat
Zajac
P1
44.4%
54.6%
P2
45.9%
55.5%
P3
47.2%
54.2%
OT
25.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |