Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lewis wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lewis 43.2% vs Seguin 53.6% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Lewis leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 84.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 92.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 87.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 89.7%
10.3%
89.7%
Lewis
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Lewis
Seguin
Last 10: Lewis 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lewis
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
4
3
Lewis
Seguin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
3
0
Lewis
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lewis
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (2,347)
53.7% (8,071)
-10.5%
Power Play
51.9% (108)
55.9% (810)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (365)
49.3% (762)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lewis is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (860).
Lewis shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Lewis
Seguin
Home
44.1% (1,395)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
41.8% (1,428)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Lewis
Seguin
P1
42.8%
52.8%
P2
43.9%
53.3%
P3
41.9%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |