Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.0% vs Zegras 41.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 62.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 87.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 76.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Strome
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Zegras
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Strome
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (749)
39.4% (510)
+4.7%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
47.1% (34)
-0.9%
On even strength, Strome has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Strome shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Strome
Zegras
Home
45.1% (441)
42.3% (272)
Away
43.5% (377)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Strome
Zegras
P1
42.9%
37.6%
P2
44.4%
41.5%
P3
45.8%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.4%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |