Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Wright wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 41.4% vs Zegras 37.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 51.4%
Defensive zone
Wright 64.3%
Neutral zone
Wright 65.2%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Wright
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Wright
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
0
Wright
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (461)
33.0% (264)
+6.7%
Power Play
41.0% (61)
32.1% (56)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Wright shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Wright
Zegras
Home
39.5% (286)
35.3% (173)
Away
40.1% (237)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Wright
Zegras
P1
40.2%
33.0%
P2
36.7%
35.7%
P3
42.9%
29.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Shane Wright |