Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 37.0% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 69.2%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 56.9%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 51.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Zegras
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
33.0% (264)
25.0% (20)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Zegras shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Zegras
Toffoli
Home
35.3% (173)
20.0% (10)
Away
30.2% (149)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Zegras
Toffoli
P1
33.0%
80.0%
P2
35.7%
14.3%
P3
29.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
29.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%