Trevor Zegras vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +24.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zegras wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 37.0% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-24.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 72.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 73.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Zegras
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zegras
Trocheck
Last 5: Zegras 2-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Zegras
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zegras
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
33.0% (264)
58.0% (666)
-25.0%
Power Play
32.1% (56)
64.8% (165)
-32.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.4% (152)
+6.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Zegras shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Zegras
Trocheck
Home
35.3% (173)
55.3% (436)
Away
30.2% (149)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Zegras
Trocheck
P1
33.0%
56.4%
P2
35.7%
58.7%
P3
29.7%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
29.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |