Trevor Zegras vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +24.7% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 32.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 37.0% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-24.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 72.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 83.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 57.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Zegras
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
33.0% (264)
58.5% (135)
-25.5%
Power Play
32.1% (56)
80.0% (5)
-47.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Zegras shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Zegras
Karlsson
Home
35.3% (173)
63.7% (91)
Away
30.2% (149)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Zegras
Karlsson
P1
33.0%
54.4%
P2
35.7%
66.7%
P3
29.7%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
29.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%