Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.7% vs Johnson 51.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 69.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Cizikas
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Cizikas
Johnson
Last 9: Cizikas 2-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
6
Cizikas
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Cizikas
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (676)
51.2% (825)
-0.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
56.9% (160)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (157)
51.1% (137)
-7.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cizikas is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cizikas shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Johnson
Home
49.8% (486)
56.9% (583)
Away
49.4% (360)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Cizikas
Johnson
P1
50.6%
55.1%
P2
46.0%
53.0%
P3
52.4%
48.8%
OT
45.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
49.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |