Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.3% vs Seguin 55.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 62.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Kopitar
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Seguin
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Kopitar
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kopitar
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (1,285)
55.9% (789)
-3.1%
Power Play
64.8% (199)
52.1% (48)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (292)
44.4% (9)
+4.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kopitar is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Kopitar shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Seguin
Home
53.7% (918)
57.3% (382)
Away
53.3% (858)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Kopitar
Seguin
P1
52.9%
55.1%
P2
53.6%
57.5%
P3
53.4%
53.7%
OT
64.3%
61.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
53.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |