Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 54.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Jenner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Jenner
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
53.2% (201)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
60.0% (25)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Jenner
Seguin
Home
52.7% (165)
56.3% (126)
Away
50.0% (144)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Jenner
Seguin
P1
49.0%
44.3%
P2
45.0%
52.1%
P3
59.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |