Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Jost 44.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 58.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 55.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 59.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Cates
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
39.5% (86)
+6.0%
Power Play
42.1% (114)
0.0% (1)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
42.9% (7)
+1.8%
On power play, Cates has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Cates shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Cates
Jost
Home
46.2% (468)
38.9% (54)
Away
43.9% (449)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Cates
Jost
P1
46.0%
42.4%
P2
47.5%
37.8%
P3
42.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
44.8%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Noah Cates |