Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jost wins 38.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jost 40.8% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
William Karlsson favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Jost
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jost
Karlsson
Last 5: Jost 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Jost
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Jost
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jost
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (388)
55.3% (897)
-13.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
61.1% (113)
-61.1%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (60)
50.8% (132)
-29.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Jost shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Jost
Karlsson
Home
42.6% (230)
58.6% (560)
Away
34.8% (221)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Jost
Karlsson
P1
43.2%
55.8%
P2
38.2%
55.6%
P3
34.6%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
38.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |