Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jost wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jost 40.5% vs Johnston 49.0% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 69.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 68.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 67.0%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Jost
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Jost
Johnston
Last 10: Jost 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
3
2
Jost
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Jost
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
3
2
Jost
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jost
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,016)
49.1% (2,232)
-8.1%
Power Play
34.2% (73)
52.5% (179)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (256)
44.7% (237)
-9.5%
On power play, Johnston has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Jost shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Jost
Johnston
Home
41.9% (1,240)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
38.1% (1,105)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Jost
Johnston
P1
38.5%
50.0%
P2
41.1%
48.1%
P3
40.9%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
38.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |