Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jost wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jost 40.5% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 68.6%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 69.7%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 66.0%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Jost
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jost
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Jost 3-2 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Jost
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
3
0
Jost
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jost
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,016)
49.1% (632)
-8.1%
Power Play
34.2% (73)
28.6% (7)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (256)
45.5% (66)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,469).
Jost shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Jost
Ostapchuk
Home
41.9% (1,240)
48.6% (329)
Away
38.1% (1,105)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Jost
Ostapchuk
P1
38.5%
48.5%
P2
41.1%
46.4%
P3
40.9%
50.7%
Final 5 min
38.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |