Vincent Trocheck vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Trocheck wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Trocheck 56.2% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 94.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 74.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 84.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Trocheck
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
Last 5: Trocheck 5-0 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Trocheck
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (666)
45.1% (164)
+12.9%
Power Play
64.8% (165)
50.0% (2)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (152)
45.2% (31)
-1.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Trocheck shoots right. Girgensons is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Trocheck
Girgensons
Home
55.3% (436)
44.6% (92)
Away
58.1% (547)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Trocheck
Girgensons
P1
56.4%
44.2%
P2
58.7%
46.0%
P3
55.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |