Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Karlsson 51.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 66.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Lazar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Karlsson
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Lazar
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
52.9% (719)
+0.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.5% (101)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
45.2% (126)
-3.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lazar is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Lazar shoots right. Karlsson is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Lazar
Karlsson
Home
53.1% (211)
54.1% (547)
Away
48.7% (150)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Lazar
Karlsson
P1
45.3%
49.5%
P2
52.8%
53.2%
P3
54.7%
52.3%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |