Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jost wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jost 47.5% vs Karlsson 53.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 64.6%
Defensive zone
Jost 71.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 64.2%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Jost
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jost
Karlsson
Last 6: Jost 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Jost
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
0
Jost
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Jost
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jost
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (287)
55.5% (659)
-7.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
59.3% (172)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
39.1% (128)
+0.1%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Jost is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Jost shoots left. Karlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Home / Away
Jost
Karlsson
Home
49.5% (190)
53.9% (488)
Away
43.6% (156)
54.1% (471)
By Period
Jost
Karlsson
P1
43.2%
50.5%
P2
52.5%
54.8%
P3
44.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |