Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Johnston 44.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 65.3%
Defensive zone
Johnston 55.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 54.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Beniers
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beniers
Johnston
Last 5: Beniers 4-1 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
0
Beniers
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
42.5% (318)
-0.2%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
55.6% (9)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
62.5% (8)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Beniers shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Beniers
Johnston
Home
43.8% (495)
40.5% (168)
Away
40.5% (474)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Beniers
Johnston
P1
43.3%
46.9%
P2
45.6%
40.4%
P3
38.2%
41.9%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
42.2%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |