Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Johnston 48.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 58.9%
Defensive zone
Donato 53.5%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Donato
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Donato
Johnston
Last 5: Donato 1-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Donato
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Donato
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Donato
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (297)
47.3% (666)
-0.5%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
50.7% (69)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.4% (35)
+48.6%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Donato shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Donato
Johnston
Home
45.8% (142)
47.5% (364)
Away
46.7% (195)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Donato
Johnston
P1
49.5%
49.4%
P2
45.7%
46.9%
P3
43.4%
47.1%
OT
75.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |