Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 48.3% vs Gourde 48.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 58.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 74.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 62.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Necas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Necas
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
2
1
Necas
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (51)
49.0% (557)
-1.9%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
65.9% (44)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
29.2% (48)
+70.8%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +70.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Necas is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Necas shoots right. Gourde is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Necas
Gourde
Home
33.3% (42)
49.0% (314)
Away
61.1% (36)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Necas
Gourde
P1
44.4%
54.0%
P2
50.0%
44.6%
P3
43.8%
48.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
46.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Martin Necas |