Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 68.6%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 76.1%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 59.0%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Cozens 3-5 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
3
Cozens
Ostapchuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
52.2% (312)
+1.0%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
33.3% (3)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.9% (57)
-10.6%
On power play, Cozens has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Ostapchuk is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Home
54.8% (383)
49.1% (161)
Away
52.3% (354)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Cozens
Ostapchuk
P1
56.0%
50.8%
P2
51.2%
47.1%
P3
53.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Ostapchuk
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |