Zack Ostapchuk vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostapchuk 48.7% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 53.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 50.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 53.1%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Last 6: Ostapchuk 3-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
0
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
3
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (632)
45.5% (2,718)
+3.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.1% (175)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
42.2% (483)
+3.3%
On power play, Girgensons has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Ostapchuk shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Home
48.6% (329)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
48.4% (376)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
P1
48.5%
45.8%
P2
46.4%
44.1%
P3
50.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |