Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Paquette wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 47.4% vs Smith 48.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 64.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 65.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Paquette
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Paquette
Smith
Last 7: Paquette 6-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
5
1
Paquette
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (474)
49.7% (485)
-3.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
46.8% (47)
-46.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (23)
38.6% (88)
+17.9%
On power play, Smith has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Paquette is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Paquette shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Paquette
Smith
Home
50.2% (233)
48.7% (310)
Away
44.0% (266)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Paquette
Smith
P1
42.0%
45.8%
P2
47.6%
47.4%
P3
51.6%
50.5%
Final 5 min
43.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |