Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jones shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Jones 52.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 53.1%
Defensive zone
Jones 56.9%
Neutral zone
Jones 59.9%
Result
Ben Jones favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Raty
Jones
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Jones
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Jones
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
2
Raty
Jones
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Jones
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Jones
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
52.5% (118)
+8.0%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
100.0% (2)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
57.1% (7)
+6.3%
On power play, Jones has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jones shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Jones is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Raty
Jones
Home
60.2% (354)
51.4% (70)
Away
62.9% (286)
56.1% (57)
By Period
Raty
Jones
P1
56.9%
54.2%
P2
67.1%
46.4%
P3
59.5%
56.9%
Final 5 min
61.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Ben Jones |