Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jones shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Jones 51.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 55.9%
Defensive zone
Jones 60.8%
Neutral zone
Jones 64.8%
Result
Ben Jones favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Raty
Jones
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Jones
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Jones
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
2
Raty
Jones
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Jones
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Jones
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
51.7% (143)
+7.0%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
100.0% (2)
-28.9%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
57.1% (7)
+5.7%
On power play, Jones has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jones shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. Jones is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Raty
Jones
Home
58.9% (569)
51.8% (83)
Away
60.4% (487)
53.6% (69)
By Period
Raty
Jones
P1
59.5%
51.0%
P2
62.8%
53.5%
P3
56.7%
53.4%
Final 5 min
61.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Ben Jones |