Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Nelson 50.7% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 72.3%
Defensive zone
Raty 90.7%
Neutral zone
Raty 81.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Raty
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Raty
Nelson
Last 6: Raty 5-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Nelson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
50.8% (917)
+9.2%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
59.1% (176)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
43.1% (204)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. Nelson is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Raty
Nelson
Home
60.2% (354)
52.6% (639)
Away
61.8% (272)
48.9% (658)
By Period
Raty
Nelson
P1
55.7%
48.3%
P2
67.1%
54.0%
P3
59.0%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
61.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Nelson
54.0%▼
55.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |