Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Raty wins 59.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.4% vs Nelson 48.3% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 72.2%
Defensive zone
Raty 90.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 77.3%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Raty
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Raty
Nelson
Last 7: Raty 6-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
2
Raty
Nelson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
1
Raty
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (893)
47.9% (9,733)
+10.4%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
54.6% (1,146)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
62.2% (111)
43.7% (789)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Raty is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (692).
Raty shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,571).
Home / Away
Raty
Nelson
Home
58.9% (569)
50.0% (5,863)
Away
59.6% (473)
46.5% (5,806)
By Period
Raty
Nelson
P1
58.8%
48.7%
P2
62.7%
48.6%
P3
56.4%
47.7%
OT
53.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
61.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
59.2%
Nelson
54.0%▼
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |