Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Svechkov 43.2% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 64.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 65.8%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 58.9%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Raty
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Svechkov
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
2
Raty
Svechkov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
41.7% (472)
+18.3%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
33.3% (3)
+39.4%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
50.0% (6)
+12.6%
On power play, Raty has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Raty
Svechkov
Home
60.2% (354)
39.7% (247)
Away
61.8% (272)
44.0% (234)
By Period
Raty
Svechkov
P1
55.7%
36.1%
P2
67.1%
44.5%
P3
59.0%
44.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |