Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Svechkov 43.2% (+19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 64.2%
Defensive zone
Raty 65.6%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 59.2%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Raty
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Svechkov
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
2
Raty
Svechkov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
41.7% (472)
+18.8%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
33.3% (3)
+39.4%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
50.0% (6)
+13.4%
On power play, Raty has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Raty
Svechkov
Home
60.2% (354)
39.7% (247)
Away
62.9% (286)
44.0% (234)
By Period
Raty
Svechkov
P1
56.9%
36.1%
P2
67.1%
44.5%
P3
59.5%
44.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |