Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Svechkov 40.8% (+19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 62.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 69.2%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 55.5%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Raty
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Svechkov
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
2
Raty
Svechkov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
39.7% (790)
+19.0%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
41.2% (17)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
33.3% (9)
+29.5%
On power play, Raty has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Raty
Svechkov
Home
58.9% (569)
38.6% (428)
Away
60.4% (487)
41.0% (388)
By Period
Raty
Svechkov
P1
59.5%
35.7%
P2
62.8%
44.5%
P3
56.7%
39.1%
OT
53.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |