Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 63.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Evans 55.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 93.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 64.9%
Neutral zone
Raty 79.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Raty
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Evans
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
55.6% (522)
+4.9%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
72.7% (11)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
55.2% (210)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Raty is 63.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Raty shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Raty
Evans
Home
60.2% (354)
54.7% (402)
Away
62.9% (286)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Raty
Evans
P1
56.9%
57.9%
P2
67.1%
55.2%
P3
59.5%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |