Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Evans 52.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 93.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 76.0%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Raty
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Evans
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
53.7% (3,740)
+5.0%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
60.6% (71)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
47.1% (1,228)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Raty is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Raty shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Raty
Evans
Home
58.9% (569)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
60.4% (487)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Raty
Evans
P1
59.5%
54.0%
P2
62.8%
50.9%
P3
56.7%
52.0%
OT
53.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
61.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |