Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 63.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.5%
Defensive zone
Raty 81.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Raty
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Raty
Scheifele
Last 6: Raty 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Raty
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
46.5% (919)
+14.0%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
48.7% (187)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
50.0% (54)
+13.4%
On power play, Raty has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Raty is 63.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Raty shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Raty
Scheifele
Home
60.2% (354)
46.6% (605)
Away
62.9% (286)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Raty
Scheifele
P1
56.9%
52.3%
P2
67.1%
45.3%
P3
59.5%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
61.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |