Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Raty wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 50.7%
Defensive zone
Raty 89.3%
Neutral zone
Raty 71.2%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Raty
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Raty
Scheifele
Last 10: Raty 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
4
Raty
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
6
1
Raty
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
46.3% (12,077)
+12.4%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
50.2% (2,576)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
41.6% (598)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Raty is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Raty shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Home / Away
Raty
Scheifele
Home
58.9% (569)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
60.4% (487)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
Raty
Scheifele
P1
59.5%
48.2%
P2
62.8%
45.6%
P3
56.7%
46.8%
OT
53.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
61.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |