Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 63.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs McCarron 52.1% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 70.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Raty
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Raty
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Raty
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
52.8% (697)
+7.7%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
18.2% (11)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
52.6% (211)
+10.8%
On power play, Raty has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Raty is 63.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Raty shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Raty
McCarron
Home
60.2% (354)
52.8% (477)
Away
62.9% (286)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Raty
McCarron
P1
56.9%
56.2%
P2
67.1%
52.4%
P3
59.5%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |