Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs McCarron 52.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 94.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 58.4%
Neutral zone
Raty 79.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Raty
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Raty
McCarron
Last 10: Raty 7-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Raty
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
53.3% (2,926)
+5.4%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
45.3% (86)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
50.1% (469)
+12.7%
On power play, Raty has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Raty is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Raty shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Raty
McCarron
Home
58.9% (569)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
60.4% (487)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Raty
McCarron
P1
59.5%
53.8%
P2
62.8%
52.3%
P3
56.7%
51.9%
OT
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |