Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Backlund 49.7% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 94.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 65.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 80.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Raty
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Raty
Backlund
Last 8: Raty 6-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
50.1% (930)
+9.9%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
51.5% (66)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
47.8% (293)
+14.8%
On power play, Raty has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. Backlund is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (926).
Home / Away
Raty
Backlund
Home
60.2% (354)
48.1% (636)
Away
61.8% (272)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Raty
Backlund
P1
55.7%
45.2%
P2
67.1%
54.2%
P3
59.0%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
61.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Backlund
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |