Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 88.5%
Defensive zone
Raty 78.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 78.0%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Raty
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Raty
Backlund
Last 10: Raty 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
2
Raty
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
49.7% (13,463)
+9.0%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
51.5% (1,338)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
43.9% (2,465)
+18.9%
On power play, Raty has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Raty
Backlund
Home
58.9% (569)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
60.4% (487)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Raty
Backlund
P1
59.5%
48.5%
P2
62.8%
50.3%
P3
56.7%
48.4%
OT
53.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
61.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |