Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Backlund 49.8% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 94.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 64.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 82.1%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Raty
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Raty
Backlund
Last 8: Raty 6-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
50.5% (944)
+10.0%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
51.5% (66)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
47.1% (297)
+16.3%
On power play, Raty has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Raty
Backlund
Home
60.2% (354)
48.1% (636)
Away
62.9% (286)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Raty
Backlund
P1
56.9%
45.4%
P2
67.1%
54.1%
P3
59.5%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
61.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |