Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 63.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Carrick 54.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 51.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 60.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Raty
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Carrick
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Raty
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
55.5% (470)
+5.0%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
66.7% (3)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
50.0% (58)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Raty is 63.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Raty shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Raty
Carrick
Home
60.2% (354)
58.6% (261)
Away
62.9% (286)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Raty
Carrick
P1
56.9%
55.9%
P2
67.1%
53.5%
P3
59.5%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |