Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Henrique 53.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 90.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 61.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Fantilli
Henrique
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Fantilli
Henrique
Last 8: Fantilli 5-3 Henrique
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Henrique
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
2
Fantilli
Henrique
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Henrique
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Henrique
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
55.4% (395)
-6.0%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
50.0% (22)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
50.7% (134)
-0.7%
On even strength, Henrique has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Henrique shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Henrique
Home
50.7% (503)
52.4% (227)
Away
48.5% (501)
55.2% (324)
By Period
Fantilli
Henrique
P1
47.0%
57.0%
P2
52.5%
52.5%
P3
49.7%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |