Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Henrique shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Henrique 50.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 52.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 84.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 67.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Fantilli
Henrique
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Fantilli
Henrique
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Henrique
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
6
0
Fantilli
Henrique
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
4
Fantilli
Henrique
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
3
Fantilli
Henrique
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Henrique
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
50.7% (9,546)
-6.0%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
54.5% (1,763)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
46.2% (1,832)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Henrique shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Henrique
Home
47.3% (1,209)
52.5% (6,430)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
48.8% (6,734)
By Period
Fantilli
Henrique
P1
43.8%
50.6%
P2
46.3%
51.4%
P3
45.9%
50.3%
OT
25.8%
40.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |