Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Cizikas 54.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 78.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 64.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 58.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Fantilli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Fantilli
Cizikas
Last 7: Fantilli 3-4 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
3
Fantilli
Cizikas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
55.2% (554)
-5.8%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
100.0% (3)
-48.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
46.5% (43)
+3.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cizikas
Home
50.7% (503)
54.8% (301)
Away
48.5% (501)
54.8% (299)
By Period
Fantilli
Cizikas
P1
47.0%
58.7%
P2
52.5%
56.1%
P3
49.7%
50.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |